NFL Week 7 odds picks Cardinals welcome DeAndre Hopkins back with a cover vs. Saints Patriots thrash Bears
NFL Week 7 odds picks Cardinals welcome DeAndre Hopkins back with a cover vs. Saints Patriots thrash Bears
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Another week down and another week on the horizon in the NFL. To be honest, this feels like a tricky week on the betting market with little slam-dunk plays currently sitting out there to be had. That's probably thanks to the , , , and all slated for the bye in Week 7. So, with a few of the NFL's elite teams on a break, this is where the boys become men and picks become legendary, which will, of course, begin with my five locks of the week.There, we're riding with three favorites and two dogs that may or may not share a stadium in the East Rutherford area. Ready to roll? Let's get to the picks!Regular seasonLocks of the Week ATS: 11-17-2ATS:38-53-3ML:49-45Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ETStream on Prime VideoNeither one of these quarterbacks Brad Hand Jersey play well in prime time. In fact, they stink out loud. -- the projected starter for New Orleans -- is 6-18 SU and 9-15 ATS in his career in prime time, which is the worst prime-time record since 2000 among eligible quarterbacks. Meanwhile, is 0-4 SU and ATS in his last four prime-time games. So it looks like we might be in for another snoozer on Thursday night (Sorry, Bezos!). That said, the pay here is the Cardinals, especially with how banged up New Orleans is projected to be. At the receiver spot, the Saints might get back, but and appear to be long shots. As does cornerback , which creates a heck of a return for from his suspension. Murray should also have plenty of time in the pocket as his top-five-ranked offensive line in terms of pre sure rate is facing a Saints defense that ranks dead last in the league in that category. Projected score:Cardinals 30, Saints 27The pick:Cardinals -1.5Monday, 8:15 p.m. ETTV: ESPN. Streaming:The quarterback situation for New England still seems a bit up in the air between and . That said, they've proven over the last few weeks that they can not only win with Zappe under center but play at a high level offensively. Zappe leads the NFL in pa ser rating (111.4) and threw for over 300 yards and two touchdowns last week against Cleveland. Christian Villanueva Jersey Meanwhile, they're going against a Bears offense that likely won't challenge them much offensively, which creates a horrible matchup as they'll face an emerging Patriots defense that ranks No. 7 in the NFL in DVOA. Chicago has struggled on the road as of late, owning a 1-3-1 ATS record. At home, this has the makings of a double-digit win for Bill Belichick's club. Projected score:Patriots 28, Bears 17The pick:Patriots -7.5Sunday, 1 p.m. ETTV: Fox. Streaming:The Falcons have been a bettor's dream through the first six weeks of the season, owning a 6-0 ATS record. They are looking to become just the seventh team to begin the year 7-0 ATS or better since the 1970 merger. However, I believe their strong run to the year will come to an end in Cincinnati. The Bengals currently own the second-longest cover streak in the NFL, covering in their last four games coming into Week 7 and the offense seems to be rounding into form. Since starting the year out 0-2, has Cincy at 3-1 and has a pa ser rating of 110, which is third-best in the league over that span. He was also lights out in the second half last week, mi sing just one of his 12 pa s attempts for 174 yards and two touchdowns and a perfect pa ser rating. If we're getting anything close to that type of Burrow in Week 7, the Falcons don't have the firepower to keep up. The Bengals are also 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.Projected score:Bengals 28, Cardinals 21The pick:Bengals -6Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ETTV: CBS. Stream on Paramount+() is even more banged up than he was heading into Week 6 against the as he now has a . A hobbled Wilson can't be much worse than what we've seen from him so far as the Broncos offense has continued to look stagnant. Even if Denver turns to a backup, it's hard to have much confidence in this group. Meanwhile, the Jets continue to be scrappy and just pulled together a road win over the . They are beating up poor offenses and there seems to be total buy-in with Robert Saleh. One thing that will play a factor for New York in this game is the emergence of . I expect his dominance on the ground against a Denver defense that ranks 18th in the league in DVOA against the run Francisco Mejia Jersey to continue here.Projected score:Jets 23, Broncos 21The pick:Jets +2Sunday, 1 p.m. ETTV: Fox. Streaming:I'll be honest, I'm nervous about this line as it feels like a trap game. The Jaguars have lost three straight and look like a young and inconsistent team, albeit talented. Are they going to click in this game and flash their potential at a pivotal time in their season? It's po sible. However, I'm going to ride with Brian Daboll's team until they give me a reason not to. They are 4-0 SU as an underdog this season and has been putting together a master cla s in the backfield. They've also shown an ability to rally in a game, winning three games where they've trailed by 10+ points thus far. There's also a pretty big discrepancy in the quarterbacks' ability to cover in this matchup. is covering 70% of his road games in his career. Meanwhile, is 7-16 ATS in his career, which is the worst ATS record of any quarterback in that span (min. 10 starts). Projected score:Giants 23, Jaguars 21The pick:Giants +3 at Projected score:Cowboys 33, Lions 23The pick:Cowboys -7 at Projected score:Titans 24, Colts 21The pick:Titans -2.5Packers at Projected score:Packers 23, Commanders 21The pick:Commanders +5.5 at Projected score:Buccaneers 27, Panthers 17The pick:Panthers +11 at Projected score:Ravens 30, Browns 23The pick:Ravens -6.5 at Projected score:Raiders 28, Texans 20The pick:Raiders -7 at ChargersProjected score:Chargers 28, Seahawks 24The pick:Seahawks +6.5 at Projected score:Chiefs 27, 49ers 21The pick:Chiefs -3 at Projected score:Dolphins 28, Steelers 20The pick:Dolphins -7
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